Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 2569.982109 2787.005252 3007.575931 3248.220280 3503.057126 3764.574454 4052.917639
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2180.711330 2497.951471 2833.273811 3212.916505 3629.578910 4071.748660 4575.242844
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1969.779705 2349.424542 2762.357745 3242.400675 3782.594309 4369.203602 5051.835099
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1791.172711 2212.368150 2681.858299 3239.943449 3881.112975 4590.590511 5430.787909
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1682.047641 2141.346965 2664.186266 3297.510441 4037.823868 4869.815020 5869.282399
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1545.888284 2026.897797 2585.706727 3274.902890 4093.807702 5027.565238 6164.229094
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1477.286927 1986.929763 2589.431192 3343.952690 4252.865256 5301.825780 6592.739268
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1392.095468 1920.286638 2555.558042 3363.063020 4348.787671 5499.617537 6930.680958
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1308.199203 1849.658542 2511.855801 3365.720199 4421.274451 5667.147346 7231.553563
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1185.510369 1722.575033 2391.559104 3267.699264 4365.613125 5676.673688 7340.025876
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1164.962239 1726.327425 2434.825706 3373.010145 4559.967487 5988.942353 7814.939366
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1130.321814 1709.061787 2449.329100 3440.575720 4706.761399 6243.554191 8221.359940
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1066.887094 1651.087026 2409.907766 3438.981336 4767.823112 6395.446767 8506.881749
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 993.971188 1576.577050 2345.661798 3402.553217 4782.715978 6489.123335 8720.828929
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 952.366507 1543.197996 2334.094827 3433.332178 4882.527753 6688.509336 9066.605626
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 901.585356 1494.117391 2298.948778 3430.766974 4937.628256 6830.744063 9340.969876
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 876.527446 1480.569274 2311.204476 3490.858555 5074.284553 7076.974066 9747.751667
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 824.605016 1425.127413 2263.156653 3467.260889 5099.112656 7179.313076 9972.046756
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 807.642909 1420.548187 2285.510117 3539.329435 5250.894467 7445.573576 10406.712728
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 775.073024 1390.795036 2270.848052 3559.272452 5332.368113 7620.879235 10725.732882
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 739.175400 1354.178289 2244.808234 3562.045317 5389.790194 7764.536119 11004.406798
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 674.484028 1269.584158 2146.183015 3459.741413 5301.670613 7715.100409 11031.060484
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 674.170490 1286.699609 2196.819631 3569.652528 5504.904842 8051.319885 11562.312666